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Remo vs Chapecoense-sc: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie A · 18 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Remo · Chapecoense-sc
Before kick-off
Serie A, 18 November 2026: Remo are at home to Chapecoense-sc. They are neighbours in the table: Remo are 19th and Chapecoense-sc 20th of 20. Both sides are in the bottom three.
An uneven run for Remo: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Chapecoense-sc are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Remo have not made their ground a fortress: 4 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats in 17 home matches (2024–2026), 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Chapecoense-sc — 1 win, 4 draws and 12 defeats in 17 away matches, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 on average.
This fixture often ends level: 2 of the 3 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Chapecoense-sc 2:3 Remo. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Remo: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Chapecoense-sc: last five matches — D-D-L-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Remo — 19, Chapecoense-sc — 20 (of 20).
Home and away record
Remo at home and Chapecoense-sc away, 2024–2026.
| Remo | Chapecoense-sc | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 17 | 17 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 4-7-6 | 1-4-12 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Remo won 1, 2 draws, Chapecoense-sc won 0. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 17.05.2026: Chapecoense-sc 2:3 Remo
- 02.11.2025: Remo 1:1 Chapecoense-sc
- 13.07.2025: Chapecoense-sc 1:1 Remo
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Remo is the more likely winner in our model: 55%, draw 23%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 41% of Remo’s home matches and 47% of Chapecoense-sc’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 2 of 3 meetings.
- Our model expects more corners from Remo: 6.5 against 4.1 for Chapecoense-sc.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: Remo 6.5, Chapecoense-sc 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Remo 1.7, Chapecoense-sc 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 46%.
Result
Our model: Remo win 55%, draw 23%, Chapecoense-sc win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Remo | Chapecoense-sc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 24% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 12.6 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 53% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 41% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.