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Sorrento vs Casertana: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone C · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sorrento · Casertana
Result
Our model: Sorrento win 31%, draw 25%, Casertana win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Sorrento: last five matches — W-W-W-L-W.
Casertana: last five matches — D-W-W-D-L.
Table: Sorrento — 3, Casertana — 5 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sorrento at home and Casertana away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sorrento | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Win rate | 33% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Sorrento won 0, 2 draws, Casertana won 4. Per match: 3.3 goals.
- 30.03.2026: Casertana 2:0 Sorrento
- 22.11.2025: Sorrento 1:2 Casertana
- 16.03.2025: Casertana 4:0 Sorrento
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Sorrento vs Casertana?
Our model: Sorrento 31%, draw 25%, Casertana 44%.