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Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos: prediction and statistics
Peru · Primera División · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Sporting Cristal 5.8, Comerciantes Unidos 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Sporting Cristal 2.1, Comerciantes Unidos 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 42%.
Form
Sporting Cristal: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Comerciantes Unidos: last five matches — L-L-W-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Sporting Cristal — 9, Comerciantes Unidos — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sporting Cristal at home and Comerciantes Unidos away, 2024–2026.
| Sporting Cristal | Comerciantes Unidos | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 47 |
| Win rate | 76% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.2 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 66% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 56% | 63% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Sporting Cristal won 7, 3 draws, Comerciantes Unidos won 3. Per match: 3.0 goals, 10.7 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 25.04.2026: Comerciantes Unidos 1:0 Sporting Cristal
- 01.11.2025: Comerciantes Unidos 1:4 Sporting Cristal
- 29.06.2025: Sporting Cristal 2:0 Comerciantes Unidos
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.
How many yellow cards in Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.