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Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Sporting Kansas City 5.5, Real Salt Lake 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Sporting Kansas City 1.8, Real Salt Lake 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 62%.
Form
Sporting Kansas City: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Real Salt Lake: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 14 matches without a win · away
- 6 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Sporting Kansas City — 30, Real Salt Lake — 22 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sporting Kansas City at home and Real Salt Lake away, 2024–2026.
| Sporting Kansas City | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 50 |
| Win rate | 28% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 72% | 70% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 54% |
Head to head
36 meetings in our database: Sporting Kansas City won 10, 10 draws, Real Salt Lake won 16. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.2 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 04.04.2026: Real Salt Lake 3:1 Sporting Kansas City
- 14.09.2025: Real Salt Lake 2:1 Sporting Kansas City
- 29.06.2025: Sporting Kansas City 1:1 Real Salt Lake
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.