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Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 19 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Tottenham Hotspur 6.7, Coventry City 3.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Tottenham Hotspur 2.1, Coventry City 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Tottenham Hotspur win 59%, draw 23%, Coventry City win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Coventry City: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
Table: Tottenham Hotspur — 18, Coventry City — 19 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Tottenham Hotspur at home and Coventry City away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Tottenham Hotspur | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 3 |
| Win rate | 22% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 0% |
| Total corners per match | 12.1 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 73% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 46% | 0% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Tottenham Hotspur won 9, 3 draws, Coventry City won 6. Per match: 3.0 goals, 11.7 corners, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 18.09.2024: Coventry City 1:2 Tottenham Hotspur
- 05.01.2013: Tottenham Hotspur 3:0 Coventry City
- 17.03.2001: Tottenham Hotspur 3:0 Coventry City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Our model: Tottenham Hotspur 59%, draw 23%, Coventry City 19%.