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Yeovil Town vs Worthing: prediction and statistics

England · National League · 29 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

58%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Yeovil Town 2.2, Worthing 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 34%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 53%.

Form

Yeovil Town: last five matches — D-W-W-L-W.

Worthing: last five matches — L-W-L-D-W.

Table: Yeovil Town — 7, Worthing — 11 (of 24).

Team statistics for three seasons

Yeovil Town at home and Worthing away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Yeovil TownWorthing
Matches514
Win rate37%50%
Goals scored per match1.32.5
Goals conceded per match1.42.0
Over 2.5 goals51%100%
Both teams score57%100%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match4.24.5
Over 4.5 yellow cards35%25%

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: Yeovil Town won 1, 0 draws, Worthing won 1. Per match: 3.5 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in Yeovil Town vs Worthing?

Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 42%.

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