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Airbus UK vs Colwyn Bay: prediction and statistics
Wales · Premier League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Airbus UK · Colwyn Bay
Before kick-off
Airbus UK host Colwyn Bay in Premier League on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Airbus UK are 5th, Colwyn Bay 4th in a table of 16.
Airbus UK have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Colwyn Bay are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 9 and 10.
Home advantage matters here: Airbus UK have 5 wins and 2 defeats in 7 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.3 per game. Away from home Colwyn Bay have 9 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats in 24 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 per game.
The 7 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Airbus UK 2, Colwyn Bay 3, draws 2. Last time out (21 August 2026) it ended Colwyn Bay 1:0 Airbus UK. On average these meetings produce 3.6 goals.
Form
Airbus UK: last five matches — L-W-W-L-W.
- 9 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Colwyn Bay: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Airbus UK — 5, Colwyn Bay — 4 (of 16).
Home and away record
Airbus UK at home and Colwyn Bay away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Airbus UK | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 24 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 5-0-2 | 9-5-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Airbus UK won 2, 2 draws, Colwyn Bay won 3. Per match: 3.6 goals.
- 21.08.2026: Colwyn Bay 1:0 Airbus UK
- 08.02.2025: Airbus UK 1:1 Colwyn Bay
- 27.09.2024: Colwyn Bay 6:3 Airbus UK
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Airbus UK home games and 38% of Colwyn Bay away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Airbus UK 1.7, Colwyn Bay 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 59%.
Result
Our model: Airbus UK win 48%, draw 23%, Colwyn Bay win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Airbus UK | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 71% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 29% | 29% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.