Xpect
Cardiff MET vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and statistics
Wales · Premier League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Cardiff MET · Ammanford AFC
Before kick-off
Premier League, 20 November 2026: Cardiff MET are at home to Ammanford AFC. Cardiff MET sit 8th in the 16-team table while Ammanford AFC are 14th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Ammanford AFC are in the bottom three.
An uneven run for Cardiff MET: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Ammanford AFC have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 7.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Cardiff MET have 15 wins, 13 draws and 13 defeats in 41 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Ammanford AFC — 1 win, 2 draws and 5 defeats in 8 away matches, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.6 on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.3 per game in home matches of Cardiff MET and 3.2 in away matches of Ammanford AFC.
Head to head, Cardiff MET have the upper hand: 4 wins in 4 meetings with Ammanford AFC in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 31 August 2026, finished Ammanford AFC 0:5 Cardiff MET. On average these meetings produce 4.2 goals.
Form
Cardiff MET: last five matches — D-W-L-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Ammanford AFC: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.
Table: Cardiff MET — 8, Ammanford AFC — 14 (of 16).
Home and away record
Cardiff MET at home and Ammanford AFC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cardiff MET | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 8 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-13-13 | 1-2-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Cardiff MET won 4, 0 draws, Ammanford AFC won 0. Per match: 4.2 goals.
- 31.08.2026: Ammanford AFC 0:5 Cardiff MET
- 19.10.2022: Ammanford AFC 0:3 Cardiff MET
- 06.08.2021: Ammanford AFC 0:4 Cardiff MET
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 66% of Cardiff MET’s home matches and 50% of Ammanford AFC’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Cardiff MET: 4 wins in 4 meetings with Ammanford AFC.
- Cardiff MET is the more likely winner in our model: 73%, draw 16%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Cardiff MET 1.8, Ammanford AFC 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 67%, typical match 59%.
Result
Our model: Cardiff MET win 73%, draw 16%, Ammanford AFC win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Cardiff MET | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 37% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 38% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 29% | 25% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.