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Llandudno vs Barry Town: prediction and statistics

Wales · Premier League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Premier League, 20 November 2026: Llandudno are at home to Barry Town. Llandudno go into the match 10th of 16 in the table, Barry Town are 7th.

Llandudno are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Results have gone against Barry Town recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 4 against 4.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) Llandudno have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 8 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Barry Town: 15 wins, 10 draws and 16 defeats in 41 matches, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average.

Head to head, Barry Town have the upper hand: 5 wins in 7 meetings with Llandudno in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 11 September 2026, finished Barry Town 4:1 Llandudno. On average these meetings produce 3.3 goals.

Form

Llandudno: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.

Barry Town: last five matches — L-L-W-L-D.

Table: Llandudno — 10, Barry Town — 7 (of 16).

Home and away record

Llandudno at home and Barry Town away, 2024/25–2026/27.

LlandudnoBarry Town
Matches841
Wins · draws · losses4-1-315-10-16
Goals scored per match1.51.6
Goals conceded per match1.31.8

Head to head

7 meetings in our database: Llandudno won 2, 0 draws, Barry Town won 5. Per match: 3.3 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 38% of Llandudno’s home matches and 59% of Barry Town’s away matches over three seasons.
  • Head to head favours Barry Town: 5 wins in 7 meetings with Llandudno.

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Llandudno 2.5, Barry Town 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 41%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 52%, typical match 41%.

Result

Our model: Llandudno win 31%, draw 23%, Barry Town win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 65%.

Team statistics for three seasons

LlandudnoBarry Town
Win rate50%37%
Over 2.5 goals38%59%
Both teams score50%68%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match5.63.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards50%29%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.0 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

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