Xpect
Alemannia Aachen vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Alemannia Aachen · Waldhof Mannheim
Before kick-off
3. Liga, 21 November 2026: Alemannia Aachen are at home to Waldhof Mannheim. They are neighbours in the table: Alemannia Aachen are 7th and Waldhof Mannheim 8th of 20.
Recent results of Alemannia Aachen are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Waldhof Mannheim have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Alemannia Aachen have 21 wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats in 45 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Waldhof Mannheim: 10 wins, 11 draws and 23 defeats in 44 matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: Alemannia Aachen 1, Waldhof Mannheim 2; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Waldhof Mannheim 2:1 Alemannia Aachen. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Alemannia Aachen: last five matches — D-W-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Waldhof Mannheim: last five matches — L-W-W-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Alemannia Aachen — 7, Waldhof Mannheim — 8 (of 20).
Home and away record
Alemannia Aachen at home and Waldhof Mannheim away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Alemannia Aachen | Waldhof Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-11-13 | 10-11-23 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Alemannia Aachen won 1, 1 draws, Waldhof Mannheim won 2. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 01.03.2026: Waldhof Mannheim 2:1 Alemannia Aachen
- 20.09.2025: Alemannia Aachen 3:2 Waldhof Mannheim
- 02.03.2025: Waldhof Mannheim 2:1 Alemannia Aachen
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Alemannia Aachen is the more likely winner in our model: 59%, draw 20%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Alemannia Aachen’s home matches and 52% of Waldhof Mannheim’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Alemannia Aachen: 5.9 against 4.4 for Waldhof Mannheim.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Alemannia Aachen 5.9, Waldhof Mannheim 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards: Alemannia Aachen 2.4, Waldhof Mannheim 2.8; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 59% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 59%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Alemannia Aachen win 59%, draw 20%, Waldhof Mannheim win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Alemannia Aachen | Waldhof Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 47% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 54% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 64% | 59% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.