Xpect
Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Hoffenheim II · Preußen Münster
Before kick-off
3. Liga, 21 November 2026: Hoffenheim II are at home to Preußen Münster. Hoffenheim II go into the match 9th of 20 in the table, Preußen Münster are 14th.
Recent results of Hoffenheim II are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Results have gone against Preußen Münster recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for Hoffenheim II against 3 for Preußen Münster.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Hoffenheim II have 9 wins, 6 draws and 10 defeats in 25 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The away record of Preußen Münster: 2 wins and 4 defeats in 6 matches, with 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.4 per game in home matches of Hoffenheim II and 3.7 in away matches of Preußen Münster.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Hoffenheim II: last five matches — W-D-W-W-L.
Preußen Münster: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Hoffenheim II — 9, Preußen Münster — 14 (of 20).
Home and away record
Hoffenheim II at home and Preußen Münster away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Hoffenheim II | Preußen Münster | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 25 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-6-10 | 2-0-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Hoffenheim II is the more likely winner in our model: 52%, draw 21%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 64% of Hoffenheim II’s home matches and 83% of Preußen Münster’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Hoffenheim II 4.5, Preußen Münster 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Hoffenheim II 2.2, Preußen Münster 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 67%.
Result
Our model: Hoffenheim II win 52%, draw 21%, Preußen Münster win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 66%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Hoffenheim II | Preußen Münster | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 83% |
| Both teams score | 72% | 83% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 25% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 33% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.