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SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Würzburger Kickers: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: SSV Jahn Regensburg · Würzburger Kickers
Before kick-off
SSV Jahn Regensburg host Würzburger Kickers in 3. Liga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — SSV Jahn Regensburg are 16th, Würzburger Kickers 15th in a table of 20.
SSV Jahn Regensburg have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Würzburger Kickers are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
The home record of SSV Jahn Regensburg (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 11 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats in 25 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Würzburger Kickers find it hard on the road: 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats in 7 away matches, 1.3 goals scored and 2.9 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (21 March 2021) it ended Würzburger Kickers 1:1 SSV Jahn Regensburg.
Form
SSV Jahn Regensburg: last five matches — L-L-W-D-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Würzburger Kickers: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
- 11 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: SSV Jahn Regensburg — 16, Würzburger Kickers — 15 (of 20).
Home and away record
SSV Jahn Regensburg at home and Würzburger Kickers away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | Würzburger Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 25 | 7 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 11-4-10 | 1-2-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.9 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: SSV Jahn Regensburg won 1, 1 draws, Würzburger Kickers won 0. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 21.03.2021: Würzburger Kickers 1:1 SSV Jahn Regensburg
- 28.11.2020: SSV Jahn Regensburg 2:1 Würzburger Kickers
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes SSV Jahn Regensburg the favourite at 56%; a draw is 20%.
- SSV Jahn Regensburg should win the corner count: 6.1 expected against 4.3 for Würzburger Kickers.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 64% of SSV Jahn Regensburg home games and 100% of Würzburger Kickers away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: SSV Jahn Regensburg 6.1, Würzburger Kickers 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: SSV Jahn Regensburg 2.3, Würzburger Kickers 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 67%.
Result
Our model: SSV Jahn Regensburg win 56%, draw 20%, Würzburger Kickers win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 68%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | Würzburger Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65% | 83% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 57% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 13.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 6.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.