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Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Fortuna Düsseldorf · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Before kick-off
3. Liga, 21 November 2026: Fortuna Düsseldorf are at home to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. Fortuna Düsseldorf go into the match 13th of 20 in the table, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 18th. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are in the bottom three.
Recent results of Fortuna Düsseldorf are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 8 for Fortuna Düsseldorf against 2 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Fortuna Düsseldorf have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 6 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — 2 draws and 4 defeats in 6 away matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.0 on average.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Fortuna Düsseldorf: last five matches — W-W-D-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: last five matches — L-D-D-L-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Fortuna Düsseldorf — 13, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — 18 (of 20).
Home and away record
Fortuna Düsseldorf at home and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-2-2 | 0-2-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 3.0 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Fortuna Düsseldorf’s home matches and 83% of SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Fortuna Düsseldorf: 6.2 against 3.9 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
- Fortuna Düsseldorf is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 20%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Fortuna Düsseldorf 6.2, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.2, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Fortuna Düsseldorf win 61%, draw 20%, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 62%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 83% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 75% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 50% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.