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Coventry City vs Crystal Palace: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Coventry City · Crystal Palace
Before kick-off
Coventry City host Crystal Palace in Premier League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Coventry City are 17th and Crystal Palace 20th out of 20 teams. Crystal Palace are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Coventry City have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Crystal Palace are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
The home record of Coventry City (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 3 wins and 3 defeats in 6 matches, 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Away from home Crystal Palace have 15 wins, 11 draws and 17 defeats in 43 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game.
The 6 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Coventry City 2, Crystal Palace 2, draws 2. Last time out (6 March 2012) it ended Coventry City 1:1 Crystal Palace. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Coventry City: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Crystal Palace: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Coventry City — 17, Crystal Palace — 20 (of 20).
Home and away record
Coventry City at home and Crystal Palace away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Coventry City | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 3-0-3 | 15-11-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Coventry City won 2, 2 draws, Crystal Palace won 2. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 06.03.2012: Coventry City 1:1 Crystal Palace
- 16.08.2011: Crystal Palace 2:1 Coventry City
- 28.02.1998: Crystal Palace 0:3 Coventry City
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Coventry City should win the corner count: 5.4 expected against 4.2 for Crystal Palace.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 67% of Coventry City home games and 51% of Crystal Palace away games.
- Our model makes Coventry City the favourite at 50%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Coventry City 5.4, Crystal Palace 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 51%, typical match 41%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Coventry City 1.5, Crystal Palace 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 25% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 56%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Coventry City win 50%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Coventry City | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 17% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 37% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.