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Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tottenham Hotspur · Ipswich Town
Before kick-off
Premier League, 21 November 2026: Tottenham Hotspur are at home to Ipswich Town. Tottenham Hotspur go into the match 11th of 20 in the table, Ipswich Town are 14th.
An uneven run for Tottenham Hotspur: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Ipswich Town recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
Tottenham Hotspur have not made their ground a fortress: 11 wins, 10 draws and 22 defeats in 43 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Ipswich Town — 4 wins, 7 draws and 13 defeats in 24 away matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.1 on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.2 per game in home matches of Tottenham Hotspur and 3.4 in away matches of Ipswich Town.
Head to head there is no clear master over 11 meetings — wins: Tottenham Hotspur 5, Ipswich Town 4; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2025, finished Ipswich Town 1:4 Tottenham Hotspur. On average these meetings produce 3.4 goals.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 65% of Tottenham Hotspur’s home matches and 67% of Ipswich Town’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Tottenham Hotspur: 7.5 against 2.6 for Ipswich Town.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Tottenham Hotspur 7.5, Ipswich Town 2.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Tottenham Hotspur 2.1, Ipswich Town 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Tottenham Hotspur win 50%, draw 24%, Ipswich Town win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Tottenham Hotspur: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 11 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Ipswich Town: last five matches — L-W-L-L-D.
- 9 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Tottenham Hotspur — 11, Ipswich Town — 14 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Tottenham Hotspur at home and Ipswich Town away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Tottenham Hotspur | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 24 |
| Win rate | 26% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 12.1 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 72% | 63% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 38% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Tottenham Hotspur won 5, 2 draws, Ipswich Town won 4. Per match: 3.4 goals, 11.3 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.
- 22.02.2025: Ipswich Town 1:4 Tottenham Hotspur
- 10.11.2024: Tottenham Hotspur 1:2 Ipswich Town
- 22.08.2020: Tottenham Hotspur 3:0 Ipswich Town
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Our model: Tottenham Hotspur 50%, draw 24%, Ipswich Town 26%.