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Deportes Santa Cruz vs Rangers de Talca: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera B · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportes Santa Cruz · Rangers de Talca
Before kick-off
Deportes Santa Cruz host Rangers de Talca in Primera B on 15 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th, Rangers de Talca 16th in a table of 16. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Deportes Santa Cruz are still looking for a win: 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Rangers de Talca are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Counted in points, Rangers de Talca took 9 from that stretch and Deportes Santa Cruz only 3.
Home matches have been a struggle for Deportes Santa Cruz (2024–2026) — 12 wins, 16 draws and 17 defeats in 45 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 on average. On the road Rangers de Talca are a dangerous side — 21 wins, 10 draws and 17 defeats in 48 away matches, 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
The 17 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Deportes Santa Cruz 5, Rangers de Talca 7, draws 5. Last time out (7 June 2026) it ended Rangers de Talca 0:1 Deportes Santa Cruz. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
Deportes Santa Cruz: last five matches — D-D-L-L-D.
- 8 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Rangers de Talca: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Deportes Santa Cruz — 14, Rangers de Talca — 16 (of 16).
Home and away record
Deportes Santa Cruz at home and Rangers de Talca away, 2024–2026.
| Deportes Santa Cruz | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 48 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-16-17 | 21-10-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Deportes Santa Cruz won 5, 5 draws, Rangers de Talca won 7. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 07.06.2026: Rangers de Talca 0:1 Deportes Santa Cruz
- 12.07.2025: Rangers de Talca 2:2 Deportes Santa Cruz
- 23.02.2025: Deportes Santa Cruz 0:3 Rangers de Talca
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 49% of Deportes Santa Cruz home games and 48% of Rangers de Talca away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Deportes Santa Cruz 2.3, Rangers de Talca 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 61%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 77%.
Result
Our model: Deportes Santa Cruz win 49%, draw 26%, Rangers de Talca win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Deportes Santa Cruz | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 27% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 62% | 52% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.