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Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera B · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Recoleta · Deportes Iquique
Before kick-off
Recoleta host Deportes Iquique in Primera B on 15 November 2026. In the standings Recoleta are 7th and Deportes Iquique 10th out of 16 teams.
Recoleta have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Deportes Iquique: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games.
The home record of Recoleta (2024–2026) is balanced: 19 wins, 12 draws and 15 defeats in 46 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away from home Deportes Iquique have 3 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats in 14 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 2 in 5 meetings. Last time out (7 June 2026) it ended Deportes Iquique 1:1 Recoleta. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Recoleta: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Deportes Iquique: last five matches — L-W-L-W-D.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Recoleta — 7, Deportes Iquique — 10 (of 16).
Home and away record
Recoleta at home and Deportes Iquique away, 2024–2026.
| Recoleta | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 14 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-12-15 | 3-5-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Recoleta won 1, 2 draws, Deportes Iquique won 2. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 07.06.2026: Deportes Iquique 1:1 Recoleta
- 21.08.2023: Deportes Iquique 2:1 Recoleta
- 14.04.2023: Recoleta 1:1 Deportes Iquique
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 2 of the 5 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 59% of Recoleta home games and 57% of Deportes Iquique away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Recoleta 31%, draw 25%, Deportes Iquique 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Recoleta 2.5, Deportes Iquique 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 61%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 73%, typical match 77%.
Result
Our model: Recoleta win 31%, draw 25%, Deportes Iquique win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Recoleta | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 72% | 54% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.