Xpect
Union San Felipe vs Union Espanola: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera B · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Union San Felipe · Union Espanola
Before kick-off
Primera B, 15 November 2026: Union San Felipe are at home to Union Espanola. Union Espanola sit 9th in the 16-team table while Union San Felipe are 15th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Union San Felipe are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
The last 5 games brought Union San Felipe no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Union Espanola are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 2 against 1.
Union San Felipe have not made their ground a fortress: 12 wins, 14 draws and 18 defeats in 44 home matches (2024–2026), 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Union Espanola — 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats in 14 away matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. The most recent meeting, on 8 June 2026, finished Union Espanola 2:2 Union San Felipe.
Form
Union San Felipe: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Union Espanola: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Union San Felipe — 15, Union Espanola — 9 (of 16).
Home and away record
Union San Felipe at home and Union Espanola away, 2024–2026.
| Union San Felipe | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 14 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-14-18 | 3-3-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Union San Felipe won 0, 1 draws, Union Espanola won 0. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 08.06.2026: Union Espanola 2:2 Union San Felipe
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 34% of Union San Felipe’s home matches and 43% of Union Espanola’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Union San Felipe 2.1, Union Espanola 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 61%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 39%.
Result
Our model: Union San Felipe win 26%, draw 28%, Union Espanola win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Union San Felipe | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 27% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 59% | 43% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.