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Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Copiapo: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera B · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Santiago Wanderers · Deportes Copiapo
Before kick-off
Primera B, 15 November 2026: Santiago Wanderers are at home to Deportes Copiapo. Santiago Wanderers go into the match 3rd of 16 in the table, Deportes Copiapo are 8th. Santiago Wanderers are part of the leading group.
Recent results of Santiago Wanderers are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Results have gone against Deportes Copiapo recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for Santiago Wanderers against 3 for Deportes Copiapo.
At home (2024–2026) Santiago Wanderers have 18 wins, 16 draws and 10 defeats in 44 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of Deportes Copiapo: 8 wins, 9 draws and 13 defeats in 30 matches, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 7 meetings — wins: Santiago Wanderers 2, Deportes Copiapo 4; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Deportes Copiapo 1:0 Santiago Wanderers. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Santiago Wanderers: last five matches — D-W-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Deportes Copiapo: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
Table: Santiago Wanderers — 3, Deportes Copiapo — 8 (of 16).
Home and away record
Santiago Wanderers at home and Deportes Copiapo away, 2024–2026.
| Santiago Wanderers | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 30 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-16-10 | 8-9-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Santiago Wanderers won 2, 1 draws, Deportes Copiapo won 4. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 06.06.2026: Deportes Copiapo 1:0 Santiago Wanderers
- 09.08.2025: Santiago Wanderers 1:0 Deportes Copiapo
- 31.03.2025: Deportes Copiapo 3:0 Santiago Wanderers
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 61% of Santiago Wanderers’s home matches and 30% of Deportes Copiapo’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Santiago Wanderers 2.3, Deportes Copiapo 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 59% (typical match — 61%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 76%, typical match 77%.
Result
Our model: Santiago Wanderers win 49%, draw 23%, Deportes Copiapo win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Santiago Wanderers | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.7 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 63% | 73% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.