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Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone A · 19 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Giana Erminio · Union Brescia
Result
Our model: Giana Erminio win 20%, draw 26%, Union Brescia win 54%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Giana Erminio: last five matches — D-L-L-D-D.
- 13 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Union Brescia: last five matches — L-W-D-W-D.
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Giana Erminio — 19, Union Brescia — 2 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Giana Erminio at home and Union Brescia away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Giana Erminio | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 23 |
| Win rate | 38% | 48% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 22% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 30% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Giana Erminio won 0, 0 draws, Union Brescia won 3. Per match: 3.7 goals.
- 02.09.2026: Union Brescia 5:2 Giana Erminio
- 02.02.2026: Giana Erminio 0:2 Union Brescia
- 21.09.2025: Union Brescia 2:0 Giana Erminio
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia?
Our model: Giana Erminio 20%, draw 26%, Union Brescia 54%.