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Hibernian vs Dundee United: prediction and statistics
Scotland · Premiership · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Hibernian · Dundee United
Before kick-off
Hibernian host Dundee United in Premiership on 21 November 2026. In the standings Hibernian are 10th and Dundee United 6th out of 12 teams. Hibernian are in the bottom three.
Hibernian are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Dundee United are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Counted in points, Dundee United took 8 from that stretch and Hibernian only 1.
The home record of Hibernian (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 18 wins, 11 draws and 12 defeats in 41 matches, 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away from home Dundee United have 12 wins, 14 draws and 16 defeats in 42 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game.
The 66 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Hibernian 24, Dundee United 20, draws 22. Last time out (10 October 2026) it ended Dundee United 1:0 Hibernian. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Hibernian: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Dundee United: last five matches — W-L-W-D-D.
- 8 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Hibernian — 10, Dundee United — 6 (of 12).
Home and away record
Hibernian at home and Dundee United away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Hibernian | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 42 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-11-12 | 12-14-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Head to head
66 meetings in our database: Hibernian won 24, 22 draws, Dundee United won 20. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 10.10.2026: Dundee United 1:0 Hibernian
- 04.02.2026: Hibernian 3:2 Dundee United
- 20.12.2025: Dundee United 1:1 Hibernian
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Hibernian the favourite at 58%; a draw is 23%.
- Hibernian should win the corner count: 6.0 expected against 4.9 for Dundee United.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 63% of Hibernian home games and 55% of Dundee United away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.9 corners in the match: Hibernian 6.0, Dundee United 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 65% (typical match — 60%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 53%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Hibernian 1.7, Dundee United 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Hibernian win 58%, draw 23%, Dundee United win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Hibernian | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 12.4 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 76% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 39% | 31% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.