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Motherwell vs Rangers: prediction and statistics
Scotland · Premiership · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Motherwell · Rangers
Before kick-off
Motherwell host Rangers in Premiership on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Rangers are 2nd of 12, Motherwell 9th — a gap of 7 places. Rangers are part of the leading group.
Motherwell have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Rangers right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Rangers took 11 from that stretch and Motherwell only 6.
The home record of Motherwell (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 18 wins, 12 draws and 10 defeats in 40 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. On the road Rangers are a dangerous side — 20 wins, 17 draws and 6 defeats in 43 away matches, 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
History favours Rangers — 44 wins from 68 meetings with Motherwell. Last time out (5 September 2026) it ended Rangers 1:0 Motherwell. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
Motherwell: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Rangers: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Motherwell — 9, Rangers — 2 (of 12).
Home and away record
Motherwell at home and Rangers away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Motherwell | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-12-10 | 20-17-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Head to head
68 meetings in our database: Motherwell won 5, 19 draws, Rangers won 44. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 05.09.2026: Rangers 1:0 Motherwell
- 26.04.2026: Rangers 2:3 Motherwell
- 11.02.2026: Motherwell 1:1 Rangers
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Rangers should win the corner count: 6.3 expected against 3.8 for Motherwell.
- Rangers has won 44 of the last 68 meetings with Motherwell.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 45% of Motherwell home games and 61% of Rangers away games.
- Our model makes Rangers the favourite at 59%; a draw is 22%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Motherwell 3.8, Rangers 6.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 60%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Motherwell 1.9, Rangers 2.6; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Motherwell win 19%, draw 22%, Rangers win 59%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Motherwell | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 65% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 49% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.