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Kokand-1912 vs Sogdiana: prediction and statistics
Uzbekistan · Super League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Kokand-1912 · Sogdiana
Before kick-off
Super League, 21 November 2026: Kokand-1912 are at home to Sogdiana. Kokand-1912 go into the match 15th of 16 in the table, Sogdiana are 12th. Kokand-1912 are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
An uneven run for Kokand-1912: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Sogdiana have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 6 against 5.
At home (2024–2026) Kokand-1912 have 10 wins, 11 draws and 9 defeats in 30 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of Sogdiana: 12 wins, 11 draws and 18 defeats in 41 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 22 meetings — wins: Kokand-1912 5, Sogdiana 11; draws: 6. The most recent meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished Sogdiana 2:2 Kokand-1912. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Kokand-1912: last five matches — D-D-W-L-D.
- 17 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Sogdiana: last five matches — W-L-D-D-L.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Kokand-1912 — 15, Sogdiana — 12 (of 16).
Home and away record
Kokand-1912 at home and Sogdiana away, 2024–2026.
| Kokand-1912 | Sogdiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-11-9 | 12-11-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Kokand-1912 won 5, 6 draws, Sogdiana won 11. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 02.04.2026: Sogdiana 2:2 Kokand-1912
- 30.11.2025: Kokand-1912 2:0 Sogdiana
- 04.07.2025: Sogdiana 2:1 Kokand-1912
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 40% – 25% – 35%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 40% of Kokand-1912’s home matches and 51% of Sogdiana’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Kokand-1912 1.5, Sogdiana 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 25% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 56%, typical match 47%.
Result
Our model: Kokand-1912 win 40%, draw 25%, Sogdiana win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Kokand-1912 | Sogdiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 23% | 24% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.