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Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 19 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Newells Old Boys · Central Cordoba de Santiago
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: Newells Old Boys 4.7, Central Cordoba de Santiago 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 58%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Newells Old Boys 2.0, Central Cordoba de Santiago 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 74%.
Result
Our model: Newells Old Boys win 46%, draw 29%, Central Cordoba de Santiago win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Newells Old Boys: last five matches — D-W-W-D-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Central Cordoba de Santiago: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Newells Old Boys — 23, Central Cordoba de Santiago — 27 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Newells Old Boys at home and Central Cordoba de Santiago away, 2024–2026.
| Newells Old Boys | Central Cordoba de Santiago | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 44 |
| Win rate | 30% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 57% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Newells Old Boys won 8, 2 draws, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 3. Per match: 2.4 goals, 9.1 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 05.04.2026: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1:3 Newells Old Boys
- 09.08.2025: Newells Old Boys 1:1 Central Cordoba de Santiago
- 07.02.2025: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2:0 Newells Old Boys
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our model expects 9.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 42%.
How many yellow cards in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our model: Newells Old Boys 46%, draw 29%, Central Cordoba de Santiago 25%.