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Persepolis FC vs Paykan: prediction and statistics
Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Persepolis FC · Paykan
Before kick-off
Persepolis FC host Paykan in Persian Gulf Pro League on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Persepolis FC are 2nd of 18, Paykan 11th — a gap of 9 places. Persepolis FC are in the top three.
Persepolis FC have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Paykan: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
Home advantage matters here: Persepolis FC have 19 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats in 32 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Away from home Paykan have 4 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats in 17 matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.1 per game in home matches of Persepolis FC and 2.1 in away matches of Paykan.
History favours Persepolis FC — 14 wins from 17 meetings with Paykan. Last time out (9 December 2025) it ended Paykan 0:1 Persepolis FC. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
Persepolis FC: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 13 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Paykan: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Persepolis FC — 2, Paykan — 11 (of 18).
Home and away record
Persepolis FC at home and Paykan away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Persepolis FC | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 32 | 17 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-7-6 | 4-4-9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.3 |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Persepolis FC won 14, 2 draws, Paykan won 1. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 09.12.2025: Paykan 0:1 Persepolis FC
- 17.03.2024: Persepolis FC 2:0 Paykan
- 19.10.2023: Paykan 1:3 Persepolis FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Persepolis FC has won 14 of the last 17 meetings with Paykan.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 31% of Persepolis FC home games and 29% of Paykan away games.
- Our model makes Persepolis FC the favourite at 60%; a draw is 27%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Persepolis FC 1.6, Paykan 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 70%, typical match 72%.
Result
Our model: Persepolis FC win 60%, draw 27%, Paykan win 14%. Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 31%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Persepolis FC | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 59% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 29% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 29% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 0.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.