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Sanat Naft vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: prediction and statistics
Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sanat Naft · Esteghlal Khuzestan
Before kick-off
Sanat Naft host Esteghlal Khuzestan in Persian Gulf Pro League on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Sanat Naft are 15th, Esteghlal Khuzestan 13th in a table of 18.
Sanat Naft have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Esteghlal Khuzestan no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats.
The home record of Sanat Naft (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 6 matches, 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Esteghlal Khuzestan find it hard on the road: 3 wins, 11 draws and 18 defeats in 32 away matches, 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.0 per game in home matches of Sanat Naft and 1.9 in away matches of Esteghlal Khuzestan.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 5 in 9 meetings. Last time out (12 April 2024) it ended Esteghlal Khuzestan 2:1 Sanat Naft. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
Sanat Naft: last five matches — D-L-D-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Esteghlal Khuzestan: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.
- 20 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Sanat Naft — 15, Esteghlal Khuzestan — 13 (of 18).
Home and away record
Sanat Naft at home and Esteghlal Khuzestan away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sanat Naft | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 32 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-2-2 | 3-11-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Sanat Naft won 2, 5 draws, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 12.04.2024: Esteghlal Khuzestan 2:1 Sanat Naft
- 28.10.2023: Sanat Naft 1:1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
- 22.02.2019: Esteghlal Khuzestan 1:1 Sanat Naft
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: Sanat Naft 36%, draw 31%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 33%.
- 5 of the 9 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 50% of Sanat Naft home games and 38% of Esteghlal Khuzestan away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards: Sanat Naft 1.6, Esteghlal Khuzestan 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 23% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 59%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Sanat Naft win 36%, draw 31%, Esteghlal Khuzestan win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 39%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sanat Naft | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 34% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 16% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.