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Tigres UANL vs Club America: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 22 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tigres UANL · Club America
Before kick-off
Tigres UANL host Club America in Liga MX on 22 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Club America are 2nd of 18, Tigres UANL 15th — a gap of 13 places. Club America are part of the leading group.
Tigres UANL have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Club America are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
Home advantage matters here: Tigres UANL have 30 wins, 12 draws and 6 defeats in 48 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 per game. On the road Club America are a dangerous side — 20 wins, 17 draws and 14 defeats in 51 away matches, 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
The 36 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Tigres UANL 8, Club America 18, draws 10. Last time out (28 March 2026) it ended Club America 1:1 Tigres UANL. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Tigres UANL: last five matches — D-W-W-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Club America: last five matches — W-L-W-W-D.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Tigres UANL — 15, Club America — 2 (of 18).
Home and away record
Tigres UANL at home and Club America away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Tigres UANL | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 51 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 30-12-6 | 20-17-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
Head to head
36 meetings in our database: Tigres UANL won 8, 10 draws, Club America won 18. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 28.03.2026: Club America 1:1 Tigres UANL
- 01.03.2026: Club America 1:4 Tigres UANL
- 17.08.2025: Tigres UANL 1:3 Club America
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Tigres UANL should win the corner count: 6.0 expected against 4.4 for Club America.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 50% of Tigres UANL home games and 51% of Club America away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Tigres UANL 32%, draw 25%, Club America 43%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Tigres UANL 6.0, Club America 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Tigres UANL 2.2, Club America 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Tigres UANL win 32%, draw 25%, Club America win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Tigres UANL | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 63% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 46% | 40% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.