Xpect
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 22 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Monterrey
Before kick-off
Liga MX, 22 November 2026: U.N.A.M. - Pumas are at home to Monterrey. U.N.A.M. - Pumas go into the match 11th of 18 in the table, Monterrey are 7th.
An uneven run for U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Monterrey have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 6 against 7.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 18 wins, 15 draws and 13 defeats in 46 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of Monterrey: 17 wins, 9 draws and 22 defeats in 48 matches, with 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 26 meetings — wins: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4, Monterrey 15; draws: 7. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2:0 Monterrey. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: last five matches — W-L-D-D-D.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Monterrey: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: U.N.A.M. - Pumas — 11, Monterrey — 7 (of 18).
Home and away record
U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home and Monterrey away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 48 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-15-13 | 17-9-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
Head to head
26 meetings in our database: U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 4, 7 draws, Monterrey won 15. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 22.02.2026: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2:0 Monterrey
- 19.10.2025: Monterrey 1:1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- 05.05.2025: Monterrey 2:0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of U.N.A.M. - Pumas’s home matches and 56% of Monterrey’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Monterrey: 5.9 against 4.2 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4.2, Monterrey 5.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2.1, Monterrey 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas win 46%, draw 24%, Monterrey win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 39% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 37% | 40% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.