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Vitoria vs RB Bragantino: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie A · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Vitoria · RB Bragantino
Before kick-off
Vitoria host RB Bragantino in Serie A on 19 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: RB Bragantino are 8th of 20, Vitoria 16th — a gap of 8 places.
Vitoria have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought RB Bragantino no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Counted in points, Vitoria took 7 from that stretch and RB Bragantino only 2.
The home record of Vitoria (2024–2026) is balanced: 27 wins, 11 draws and 17 defeats in 55 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. RB Bragantino find it hard on the road: 11 wins, 14 draws and 30 defeats in 55 away matches, 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
History favours RB Bragantino — 9 wins from 14 meetings with Vitoria. Last time out (17 May 2026) it ended RB Bragantino 2:0 Vitoria. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Vitoria: last five matches — W-L-W-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
RB Bragantino: last five matches — D-L-L-D-L.
- 10 matches without a win · away
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Vitoria — 16, RB Bragantino — 8 (of 20).
Home and away record
Vitoria at home and RB Bragantino away, 2024–2026.
| Vitoria | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 55 | 55 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 27-11-17 | 11-14-30 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: Vitoria won 5, 0 draws, RB Bragantino won 9. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 17.05.2026: RB Bragantino 2:0 Vitoria
- 03.12.2025: RB Bragantino 4:0 Vitoria
- 20.07.2025: Vitoria 1:0 RB Bragantino
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- RB Bragantino has won 9 of the last 14 meetings with Vitoria.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 40% of Vitoria home games and 46% of RB Bragantino away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Vitoria 34%, draw 26%, RB Bragantino 40%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Vitoria 5.0, RB Bragantino 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 55%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Vitoria 2.1, RB Bragantino 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 72%.
Result
Our model: Vitoria win 34%, draw 26%, RB Bragantino win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Vitoria | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 49% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 66% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 66% | 64% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.