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CD Coria vs Athletic Club II: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: CD Coria · Athletic Club II
Result
Our model: CD Coria win 36%, draw 26%, Athletic Club II win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
CD Coria: last five matches — W-D-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Athletic Club II: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
Table: CD Coria — 18, Athletic Club II — 4 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
CD Coria at home and Athletic Club II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| CD Coria | Athletic Club II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 41 |
| Win rate | 33% | 37% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win CD Coria vs Athletic Club II?
Our model: CD Coria 36%, draw 26%, Athletic Club II 38%.