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Extremadura 1924 vs Real Unión: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Extremadura 1924 · Real Unión
Result
Our model: Extremadura 1924 win 46%, draw 24%, Real Unión win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Extremadura 1924: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Real Unión: last five matches — W-W-L-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Extremadura 1924 — 11, Real Unión — 10 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Extremadura 1924 at home and Real Unión away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Extremadura 1924 | Real Unión | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 23 |
| Win rate | 33% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Extremadura 1924 vs Real Unión?
Our model: Extremadura 1924 46%, draw 24%, Real Unión 30%.