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Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Racing Ferrol · Unionistas de Salamanca
Result
Our model: Racing Ferrol win 43%, draw 28%, Unionistas de Salamanca win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Racing Ferrol: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Unionistas de Salamanca: last five matches — L-W-L-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Racing Ferrol — 3, Unionistas de Salamanca — 16 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Racing Ferrol at home and Unionistas de Salamanca away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Racing Ferrol | Unionistas de Salamanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 41 |
| Win rate | 45% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 42% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Racing Ferrol won 2, 2 draws, Unionistas de Salamanca won 4. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 23.05.2026: Unionistas de Salamanca 3:2 Racing Ferrol
- 14.12.2025: Racing Ferrol 2:1 Unionistas de Salamanca
- 07.05.2023: Unionistas de Salamanca 1:1 Racing Ferrol
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
Our model: Racing Ferrol 43%, draw 28%, Unionistas de Salamanca 29%.