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Pontevedra vs Cacereño: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Pontevedra · Cacereño
Result
Our model: Pontevedra win 49%, draw 27%, Cacereño win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Pontevedra: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Cacereño: last five matches — L-D-L-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Pontevedra — 15, Cacereño — 5 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Pontevedra at home and Cacereño away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Pontevedra | Cacereño | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 22 |
| Win rate | 35% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Pontevedra won 0, 1 draws, Cacereño won 1. Per match: 1.5 goals.
- 14.02.2026: Cacereño 1:0 Pontevedra
- 30.08.2025: Pontevedra 1:1 Cacereño
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Our model: Pontevedra 49%, draw 27%, Cacereño 24%.