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Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga de Expansión · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Correcaminos Uat · Dorados
Result
Our model: Correcaminos Uat win 56%, draw 22%, Dorados win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 60%.
Form
Correcaminos Uat: last five matches — L-D-D-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Dorados: last five matches — W-L-W-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Correcaminos Uat — 9, Dorados — 12 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Correcaminos Uat at home and Dorados away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Correcaminos Uat | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 34 |
| Win rate | 32% | 6% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 74% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Correcaminos Uat won 7, 4 draws, Dorados won 9. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 29.03.2026: Dorados 2:1 Correcaminos Uat
- 18.10.2025: Correcaminos Uat 1:0 Dorados
- 21.02.2025: Correcaminos Uat 3:1 Dorados
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados?
Our model: Correcaminos Uat 56%, draw 22%, Dorados 22%.