Xpect
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Mineros de Zacatecas: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga de Expansión · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Cruz Azul Hidalgo · Mineros de Zacatecas
Result
Our model: Cruz Azul Hidalgo win 37%, draw 24%, Mineros de Zacatecas win 39%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
Cruz Azul Hidalgo: last five matches — D-L-W-D-L.
Mineros de Zacatecas: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Cruz Azul Hidalgo — 15, Mineros de Zacatecas — 5 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cruz Azul Hidalgo at home and Mineros de Zacatecas away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 39 |
| Win rate | 20% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our model: Cruz Azul Hidalgo 37%, draw 24%, Mineros de Zacatecas 39%.