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Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga de Expansión · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Monarcas · CDS Tampico Madero
Result
Our model: Monarcas win 57%, draw 24%, CDS Tampico Madero win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 45%.
Form
Monarcas: last five matches — W-L-W-W-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
CDS Tampico Madero: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 9 matches without a win · away
- 8 losses in a row · away
Table: Monarcas — 3, CDS Tampico Madero — 14 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Monarcas at home and CDS Tampico Madero away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Monarcas | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 44 |
| Win rate | 62% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Monarcas won 1, 2 draws, CDS Tampico Madero won 1. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 19.04.2026: CDS Tampico Madero 1:0 Monarcas
- 09.11.2025: Monarcas 0:0 CDS Tampico Madero
- 11.01.2025: Monarcas 1:0 CDS Tampico Madero
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our model: Monarcas 57%, draw 24%, CDS Tampico Madero 18%.