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Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 14 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportivo Pereira · America de Cali
Before kick-off
Deportivo Pereira host America de Cali in Primera A on 14 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: America de Cali are 2nd of 20, Deportivo Pereira 20th — a gap of 18 places. Deportivo Pereira are in the bottom three. America de Cali are part of the leading group.
Deportivo Pereira have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than America de Cali right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games.
The home record of Deportivo Pereira (2024–2026) is balanced: 23 wins, 21 draws and 16 defeats in 60 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home America de Cali have 19 wins, 20 draws and 28 defeats in 67 matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.1 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.3 per game in home matches of Deportivo Pereira and 2.0 in away matches of America de Cali.
History favours America de Cali — 9 wins from 15 meetings with Deportivo Pereira. Last time out (9 September 2026) it ended America de Cali 4:1 Deportivo Pereira. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Deportivo Pereira: last five matches — L-D-W-W-L.
America de Cali: last five matches — W-D-W-D-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Deportivo Pereira — 20, America de Cali — 2 (of 20).
Home and away record
Deportivo Pereira at home and America de Cali away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Pereira | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 60 | 67 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-21-16 | 19-20-28 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Deportivo Pereira won 4, 2 draws, America de Cali won 9. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 09.09.2026: America de Cali 4:1 Deportivo Pereira
- 03.05.2026: America de Cali 1:0 Deportivo Pereira
- 14.08.2025: Deportivo Pereira 2:1 America de Cali
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 40% of Deportivo Pereira home games and 36% of America de Cali away games.
- Our model makes America de Cali the favourite at 57%; a draw is 26%.
- America de Cali should win the corner count: 5.2 expected against 3.7 for Deportivo Pereira.
- America de Cali has won 9 of the last 15 meetings with Deportivo Pereira.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.9 corners in the match: Deportivo Pereira 3.7, America de Cali 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 41% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Deportivo Pereira 2.4, America de Cali 2.9; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 61% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 78%, typical match 82%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Pereira win 17%, draw 26%, America de Cali win 57%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 39%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Deportivo Pereira | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 38% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 73% | 57% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.