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Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 14 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Internacional de Bogota · Santa Fe
Before kick-off
Internacional de Bogota host Santa Fe in Primera A on 14 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Santa Fe are 3rd of 20, Internacional de Bogota 13th — a gap of 10 places. Santa Fe are part of the leading group.
Internacional de Bogota have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Santa Fe: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
The home record of Internacional de Bogota (2024–2026) is balanced: 22 wins, 17 draws and 22 defeats in 61 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. On the road Santa Fe are a dangerous side — 29 wins, 23 draws and 21 defeats in 73 away matches, 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
The 24 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Internacional de Bogota 6, Santa Fe 10, draws 8. Last time out (3 May 2026) it ended Santa Fe 3:1 Internacional de Bogota. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Internacional de Bogota: last five matches — D-W-W-W-L.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Santa Fe: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Internacional de Bogota — 13, Santa Fe — 3 (of 20).
Home and away record
Internacional de Bogota at home and Santa Fe away, 2024–2026.
| Internacional de Bogota | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 61 | 73 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-17-22 | 29-23-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Head to head
24 meetings in our database: Internacional de Bogota won 6, 8 draws, Santa Fe won 10. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 03.05.2026: Santa Fe 3:1 Internacional de Bogota
- 28.09.2025: Santa Fe 3:0 Internacional de Bogota
- 11.04.2025: Internacional de Bogota 2:1 Santa Fe
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Internacional de Bogota home games and 34% of Santa Fe away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Internacional de Bogota 31%, draw 27%, Santa Fe 42%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Internacional de Bogota 4.9, Santa Fe 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Internacional de Bogota 2.5, Santa Fe 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 82%.
Result
Our model: Internacional de Bogota win 31%, draw 27%, Santa Fe win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Internacional de Bogota | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 61% | 73% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.