XpectXpect

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Torpedo Zhodino: prediction and statistics

Belarus · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

FC Isloch Minsk R. host Torpedo Zhodino in Premier League on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: FC Isloch Minsk R. are 2nd of 16, Torpedo Zhodino 8th — a gap of 6 places. FC Isloch Minsk R. are in the top three.

FC Isloch Minsk R. arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Torpedo Zhodino are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, FC Isloch Minsk R. took 12 from that stretch and Torpedo Zhodino only 3.

The home record of FC Isloch Minsk R. (2024–2026) is balanced: 23 wins, 13 draws and 8 defeats in 44 matches, 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. On the road Torpedo Zhodino are a dangerous side — 19 wins, 12 draws and 13 defeats in 44 away matches, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

The 27 previous meetings are fairly balanced — FC Isloch Minsk R. 10, Torpedo Zhodino 10, draws 7. Last time out (5 July 2026) it ended Torpedo Zhodino 0:2 FC Isloch Minsk R.. On average these meetings produce 2.3 goals.

Form

FC Isloch Minsk R.: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.

Torpedo Zhodino: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.

Table: FC Isloch Minsk R. — 2, Torpedo Zhodino — 8 (of 16).

Home and away record

FC Isloch Minsk R. at home and Torpedo Zhodino away, 2024–2026.

FC Isloch Minsk R.Torpedo Zhodino
Matches4444
Wins · draws · losses23-13-819-12-13
Goals scored per match1.61.2
Goals conceded per match0.71.0

Head to head

27 meetings in our database: FC Isloch Minsk R. won 10, 7 draws, Torpedo Zhodino won 10. Per match: 2.3 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of FC Isloch Minsk R. home games and 32% of Torpedo Zhodino away games.
  • Our model makes FC Isloch Minsk R. the favourite at 68%; a draw is 20%.

Corners

54%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: FC Isloch Minsk R. 5.1, Torpedo Zhodino 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.

Yellow cards

76%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards: FC Isloch Minsk R. 1.7, Torpedo Zhodino 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 24% (typical match — 32%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 58%, typical match 48%.

Result

Our model: FC Isloch Minsk R. win 68%, draw 20%, Torpedo Zhodino win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 43%.

Team statistics for three seasons

FC Isloch Minsk R.Torpedo Zhodino
Win rate52%43%
Over 2.5 goals43%32%
Both teams score39%34%
Total corners per match12.26.9
Over 9.5 corners70%25%
Total yellow cards per match2.72.6
Over 4.5 yellow cards11%14%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 9.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.6 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction