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Nancy vs Dijon: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Nancy host Dijon in Ligue 2 on 20 November 2026. In the standings Nancy are 2nd and Dijon 6th out of 18 teams. Nancy are in the top three.
Nancy arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Dijon are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Nancy (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 9 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats in 23 matches, 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. On the road Dijon are a dangerous side — 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 6 away matches, 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
The 18 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Nancy 8, Dijon 7, draws 3. Last time out (1 August 2026) it ended Nancy 2:2 Dijon. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Nancy: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
- 5 wins in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Dijon: last five matches — D-D-W-L-W.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Nancy — 2, Dijon — 6 (of 18).
Home and away record
Nancy at home and Dijon away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Nancy | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-3-11 | 2-3-1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Nancy won 8, 3 draws, Dijon won 7. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 01.08.2026: Nancy 2:2 Dijon
- 21.02.2025: Dijon 0:1 Nancy
- 20.09.2024: Nancy 0:1 Dijon
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 39% of Nancy home games and 50% of Dijon away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.9 corners in the match: Nancy 4.5, Dijon 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 40% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Nancy 1.7, Dijon 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 47%.
Result
Our model: Nancy win 49%, draw 23%, Dijon win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Nancy | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 39% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 35% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39% | 17% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 17% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.