Xpect
RED Star FC 93 vs PAU: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: RED Star FC 93 · PAU
Before kick-off
RED Star FC 93 host PAU in Ligue 2 on 20 November 2026. In the standings RED Star FC 93 are 8th and PAU 5th out of 18 teams.
Results have gone against RED Star FC 93 recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Recent results of PAU are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Counted in points, PAU took 10 from that stretch and RED Star FC 93 only 4.
The home record of RED Star FC 93 (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 14 wins, 13 draws and 13 defeats in 40 matches, 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away from home PAU have 12 wins, 12 draws and 15 defeats in 39 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 per game.
History favours PAU — 5 wins from 8 meetings with RED Star FC 93. Last time out (6 February 2026) it ended RED Star FC 93 0:3 PAU. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
RED Star FC 93: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
PAU: last five matches — D-L-W-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: RED Star FC 93 — 8, PAU — 5 (of 18).
Home and away record
RED Star FC 93 at home and PAU away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| RED Star FC 93 | PAU | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-13-13 | 12-12-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: RED Star FC 93 won 1, 2 draws, PAU won 5. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 06.02.2026: RED Star FC 93 0:3 PAU
- 12.09.2025: PAU 0:3 RED Star FC 93
- 17.01.2025: RED Star FC 93 1:3 PAU
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 50% of RED Star FC 93 home games and 62% of PAU away games.
- RED Star FC 93 should win the corner count: 5.6 expected against 3.4 for PAU.
- PAU has won 5 of the last 8 meetings with RED Star FC 93.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: RED Star FC 93 5.6, PAU 3.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 41% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: RED Star FC 93 1.9, PAU 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: RED Star FC 93 win 47%, draw 24%, PAU win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| RED Star FC 93 | PAU | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 45% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.