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Nantes vs Grenoble: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Ligue 2, 20 November 2026: Nantes are at home to Grenoble. Nantes go into the match 14th of 18 in the table, Grenoble are 17th. Grenoble are in the bottom three.
An uneven run for Nantes: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Grenoble have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Nantes have not made their ground a fortress: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. The away record of Grenoble: 10 wins, 7 draws and 23 defeats in 40 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: Nantes 2, Grenoble 1; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 4 March 2011, finished Grenoble 2:0 Nantes. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Nantes: last five matches — L-W-D-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Grenoble: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Nantes — 14, Grenoble — 17 (of 18).
Home and away record
Nantes at home and Grenoble away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Nantes | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 1-2-3 | 10-7-23 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Nantes won 2, 1 draws, Grenoble won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 04.03.2011: Grenoble 2:0 Nantes
- 24.09.2010: Nantes 2:1 Grenoble
- 28.02.2009: Nantes 1:1 Grenoble
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Nantes is the more likely winner in our model: 59%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of Nantes’s home matches and 55% of Grenoble’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Nantes: 6.8 against 2.5 for Grenoble.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Nantes 6.8, Grenoble 2.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 45% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Nantes 1.9, Grenoble 2.4; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: Nantes win 59%, draw 24%, Grenoble win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 44%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Nantes | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 83% | 45% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 7.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.