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Laval vs Montpellier: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Laval · Montpellier
Before kick-off
Laval host Montpellier in Ligue 2 on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Montpellier are 3rd of 18, Laval 18th — a gap of 15 places. Laval are in the bottom three. Montpellier are part of the leading group.
Laval have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Montpellier are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Laval (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 13 wins, 13 draws and 15 defeats in 41 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. On the road Montpellier are a dangerous side — 10 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats in 23 away matches, 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
History favours Montpellier — 3 wins from 3 meetings with Laval. Last time out (13 March 2026) it ended Montpellier 2:0 Laval. On average these meetings produce 1.7 goals.
Form
Laval: last five matches — L-D-W-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Montpellier: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Laval — 18, Montpellier — 3 (of 18).
Home and away record
Laval at home and Montpellier away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Laval | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-13-15 | 10-6-7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Laval won 0, 0 draws, Montpellier won 3. Per match: 1.7 goals.
- 13.03.2026: Montpellier 2:0 Laval
- 27.09.2025: Laval 0:1 Montpellier
- 25.10.2016: Laval 0:2 Montpellier
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Montpellier the favourite at 58%; a draw is 23%.
- Montpellier has won 3 of the last 3 meetings with Laval.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 49% of Laval home games and 22% of Montpellier away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Laval 4.6, Montpellier 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Laval 2.0, Montpellier 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: Laval win 19%, draw 23%, Montpellier win 58%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Laval | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 32% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 22% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 26% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 30% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.