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Reims vs Saint Etienne: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Reims · Saint Etienne
Before kick-off
Ligue 2, 20 November 2026: Reims are at home to Saint Etienne. Reims go into the match 4th of 18 in the table, Saint Etienne are 1st.
Few sides are in better shape than Reims right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Saint Etienne have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Reims are hard to beat on their own ground — 12 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats in 23 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Saint Etienne travel well: 10 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats in 23 away matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head there is no clear master over 20 meetings — wins: Reims 5, Saint Etienne 9; draws: 6. The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Reims 1:0 Saint Etienne. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Reims: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · at home
Saint Etienne: last five matches — W-L-D-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Reims — 4, Saint Etienne — 1 (of 18).
Home and away record
Reims at home and Saint Etienne away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Reims | Saint Etienne | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-8-3 | 10-5-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Reims won 5, 6 draws, Saint Etienne won 9. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 24.01.2026: Reims 1:0 Saint Etienne
- 20.09.2025: Saint Etienne 3:2 Reims
- 10.05.2025: Reims 0:2 Saint Etienne
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 52% of Reims’s home matches and 56% of Saint Etienne’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Reims 4.3, Saint Etienne 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Reims 1.8, Saint Etienne 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 66%.
Result
Our model: Reims win 47%, draw 24%, Saint Etienne win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Reims | Saint Etienne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 52% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | 7.8 | 8.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 26% | 22% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 39% | 35% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.