Xpect
Sochaux vs Dunkerque: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sochaux · Dunkerque
Before kick-off
Sochaux host Dunkerque in Ligue 2 on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Dunkerque are 10th of 18, Sochaux 16th — a gap of 6 places. Sochaux are in the bottom three.
Sochaux have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Dunkerque are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Sochaux took 10 from that stretch and Dunkerque only 4.
The home record of Sochaux (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 6 matches, 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away from home Dunkerque have 12 wins, 8 draws and 20 defeats in 40 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game.
The 4 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Sochaux 2, Dunkerque 1, draws 1. Last time out (22 January 2022) it ended Dunkerque 0:0 Sochaux. On average these meetings produce 0.8 goals.
Form
Sochaux: last five matches — W-W-W-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Dunkerque: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Sochaux — 16, Dunkerque — 10 (of 18).
Home and away record
Sochaux at home and Dunkerque away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sochaux | Dunkerque | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-2-2 | 12-8-20 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Sochaux won 2, 1 draws, Dunkerque won 1. Per match: 0.8 goals.
- 22.01.2022: Dunkerque 0:0 Sochaux
- 14.08.2021: Sochaux 1:0 Dunkerque
- 01.05.2021: Dunkerque 1:0 Sochaux
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 50% of Sochaux home games and 48% of Dunkerque away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: Sochaux 4.9, Dunkerque 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 58%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Sochaux 1.6, Dunkerque 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 66%.
Result
Our model: Sochaux win 27%, draw 25%, Dunkerque win 48%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sochaux | Dunkerque | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.4 | 7.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 80% | 21% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 30% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.