Xpect
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Philadelphia Union 6.2, Charlotte 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Philadelphia Union 2.3, Charlotte 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 57%.
Form
Philadelphia Union: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Charlotte: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Philadelphia Union — 12, Charlotte — 10 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Philadelphia Union at home and Charlotte away, 2024–2026.
| Philadelphia Union | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 50 |
| Win rate | 45% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 46% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Philadelphia Union won 4, 2 draws, Charlotte won 4. Per match: 2.2 goals, 12.1 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 04.04.2026: Charlotte 2:1 Philadelphia Union
- 18.10.2025: Charlotte 2:0 Philadelphia Union
- 14.06.2025: Philadelphia Union 2:1 Charlotte
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.