Xpect
UD Logroñés vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: UD Logroñés · Cultural Leonesa
Result
Our model: UD Logroñés win 62%, draw 21%, Cultural Leonesa win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
UD Logroñés: last five matches — W-W-W-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Cultural Leonesa: last five matches — D-D-L-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: UD Logroñés — 2, Cultural Leonesa — 8 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
UD Logroñés at home and Cultural Leonesa away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| UD Logroñés | Cultural Leonesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 23 |
| Win rate | 67% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: UD Logroñés won 4, 1 draws, Cultural Leonesa won 0. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 10.08.2022: UD Logroñés 3:0 Cultural Leonesa
- 28.05.2022: Cultural Leonesa 1:2 UD Logroñés
- 08.01.2022: UD Logroñés 0:0 Cultural Leonesa
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win UD Logroñés vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our model: UD Logroñés 62%, draw 21%, Cultural Leonesa 17%.