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Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie A · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Vasco DA Gama · Internacional
Before kick-off
Serie A, 19 November 2026: Vasco DA Gama are at home to Internacional. They are neighbours in the table: Vasco DA Gama are 13th and Internacional 15th of 20.
An uneven run for Vasco DA Gama: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Internacional recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
At home (2024–2026) Vasco DA Gama have 26 wins, 12 draws and 17 defeats in 55 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The away record of Internacional: 13 wins, 17 draws and 25 defeats in 55 matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 25 meetings — wins: Vasco DA Gama 7, Internacional 13; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Internacional 4:1 Vasco DA Gama. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Vasco DA Gama: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Internacional: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Vasco DA Gama — 13, Internacional — 15 (of 20).
Home and away record
Vasco DA Gama at home and Internacional away, 2024–2026.
| Vasco DA Gama | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 55 | 55 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 26-12-17 | 13-17-25 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Vasco DA Gama won 7, 5 draws, Internacional won 13. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 16.05.2026: Internacional 4:1 Vasco DA Gama
- 28.11.2025: Vasco DA Gama 5:1 Internacional
- 27.07.2025: Internacional 1:1 Vasco DA Gama
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Vasco DA Gama’s home matches and 46% of Internacional’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Vasco DA Gama: 5.6 against 4.2 for Internacional.
- Vasco DA Gama is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 25%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Vasco DA Gama 5.6, Internacional 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Vasco DA Gama 2.3, Internacional 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 50%, typical match 46%.
Result
Our model: Vasco DA Gama win 54%, draw 25%, Internacional win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Vasco DA Gama | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 47% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.4 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 58% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.2 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.