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Blackpool vs Wigan: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
League One, 21 November 2026: Blackpool are at home to Wigan. They are neighbours in the table: Blackpool are 20th and Wigan 19th of 24.
An uneven run for Blackpool: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Wigan have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 6.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Blackpool have 21 wins, 18 draws and 13 defeats in 52 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Wigan: 9 wins, 21 draws and 23 defeats in 53 matches, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 24 meetings — wins: Blackpool 10, Wigan 10; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 22 September 2026, finished Wigan 3:2 Blackpool. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.
Form
Blackpool: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Wigan: last five matches — L-L-L-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Blackpool — 20, Wigan — 19 (of 24).
Home and away record
Blackpool at home and Wigan away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Blackpool | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-18-13 | 9-21-23 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Head to head
24 meetings in our database: Blackpool won 10, 4 draws, Wigan won 10. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 22.09.2026: Wigan 3:2 Blackpool
- 07.03.2026: Blackpool 1:1 Wigan
- 20.12.2025: Wigan 0:2 Blackpool
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 38% – 26% – 36%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 62% of Blackpool’s home matches and 38% of Wigan’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: Blackpool 5.7, Wigan 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 52%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Blackpool 2.1, Wigan 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 60%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Blackpool win 38%, draw 26%, Wigan win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Blackpool | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 19% | 36% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.