XpectXpect

Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and statistics

England · League One · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Team stats: Leyton Orient · AFC Wimbledon

Before kick-off

League One, 21 November 2026: Leyton Orient are at home to AFC Wimbledon. Leyton Orient go into the match 14th of 24 in the table, AFC Wimbledon are 17th.

Few sides are in better shape than Leyton Orient right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. AFC Wimbledon are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 12 for Leyton Orient against 1 for AFC Wimbledon.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) Leyton Orient have 23 wins, 12 draws and 19 defeats in 54 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The away record of AFC Wimbledon: 8 wins, 5 draws and 17 defeats in 30 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 9 meetings — wins: Leyton Orient 3, AFC Wimbledon 4; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 18 August 2026, finished Leyton Orient 1:1 AFC Wimbledon. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.

Form

Leyton Orient: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.

AFC Wimbledon: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.

Table: Leyton Orient — 14, AFC Wimbledon — 17 (of 24).

Home and away record

Leyton Orient at home and AFC Wimbledon away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Leyton OrientAFC Wimbledon
Matches5430
Wins · draws · losses23-12-198-5-17
Goals scored per match1.41.1
Goals conceded per match1.11.9

Head to head

9 meetings in our database: Leyton Orient won 3, 2 draws, AFC Wimbledon won 4. Per match: 2.5 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Open in the app →Download for Android

Key facts

  • Leyton Orient is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 22%.
  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 52% of Leyton Orient’s home matches and 60% of AFC Wimbledon’s away matches over three seasons.
  • Our model expects more corners from AFC Wimbledon: 6.3 against 4.3 for Leyton Orient.

Corners

61%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Leyton Orient 4.3, AFC Wimbledon 6.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.

Yellow cards

70%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Leyton Orient 1.7, AFC Wimbledon 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 32%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.

Result

Our model: Leyton Orient win 61%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 48%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Leyton OrientAFC Wimbledon
Win rate43%27%
Over 2.5 goals52%60%
Both teams score48%50%
Total corners per match10.49.7
Over 9.5 corners63%47%
Total yellow cards per match3.73.1
Over 4.5 yellow cards28%13%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 7.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.9 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction